Last week was a good
first week in which I was 10-5 against the spread and 13-2 straight up. If only the damn Saints would have won, my
7-team money-line parlay would have hit. With Shirley’s
birthday I did not get a chance to post a pick for last night, but on my honor
(and the 3 or 4 people who asked me during the day who to pick) I had the
Packers winning and covering. Even
though the Bears are still my Super Bowl pick (good word choice for a Jay
Cutler team), the Packers were going to be too fired up last night to let that
one get away.
GIANTS -7 over
Buccaneers
The Bucs did not turn
the ball over, but only had 258 yards of offense last week. There will be turnovers and still not as much
offense this week. The Giants need to
bounce back so as to not fall behind as all of the rest of the NFC is favored.
PATRIOTS -14 Cardinals
It’s so high… But the
Cardinals are starting Kevin Kolb. At New England. Screw it, I’ll take the
Patriots.
Vikings -1.5 over COLTS
Christian Ponder
actually had a really nice game (20-27 270 yards no INT) and AP looked back to
full strength. Andrew Luck was decent,
but unspectacular and their defense left something to be desired.
PANTHERS +3 over Saints
New Orleans did not
look good last week against RG3, and face another athletic/strong-arm quarterback
in Cam Newton. The Saints just do not
seem as fluid without Sean Payton running things. Home dogs were 3-1 win week one and I think
that trend might continue here.
Chiefs +3 over BILLS
If you take out the
pick-six and the punt return touchdown, that was only a 6-point loss by the
Bills. The Chiefs hung with the Falcons
high powered attack for the first half, but ran out of ammo in the second
half. I think this is a pick-em game so
I’ll take the points.
EAGLES -2 over Ravens
The Ravens looked really
good last week and the Eagles looked really bad. As we all know, in the NFL teams change
drastically from week to week. Vick will
not play as badly and Flacco probably will not play as well.
Raiders -2.5 over
DOLPHINS
Ryan Tannehill did not
look good. At all. He is dangerously close to falling into the
Weeden zone, and I’m definitely taking the Raiders to win this one.
BENGALS -7 Browns
The first week of
picking against Brandon Weeden should have worked out, Michael Vick just tried
to spoil it by matching Weeden pick-for-pick.
Dalton will be more cautious, and the Bengals’ defense will hound Weeden
all day.
Texans -7 over JAGUARS
Usually, a touchdown
underdog at home is the safe pick.
However, that team usually does not have Blaine Gabbert coming off
possibly the most efficient game of his career.
I will have to see him put back-to-back solid games together for me to
believe it. The Texans look too good on
defense for me to think it will happen this week
RAMS +3.5 over Redskins
RG3 can’t play that
well in back-to-back starts right?
There’s also the home-dog trend in play, and I just feel like this will
be a game decided by a field goal, so I’ll take the half-point.
SEAHAWKS +3 over Cowboys
Another home underdog,
and another game that feels like it might be really close. The Seahawks might have won last week had
their receivers had some stick’em, and their defense is severely
under-rated. That, combined with the
crazy home-field advantage leads me to worry about the ‘Boys in this one.
“I don’t know about
you, but the Steelers were much less than impressive Sunday night. I do not think Big Ben is near healthy, and
Mike Wallace did not look to be in top-form just yet. Sanchez
had one of his best games as a pro and like I said in my pre-season preview, I
think the Tebow-Talk will motivate him to keep it up. “ That is what I had written until I saw that
Darrelle Revis will not be playing.
CHARGERS -6 over Titans
The Chargers did not
play that well last week but got the win due to some Oakland special teams’
errors. Chris Johnson was held to just 4
yards rushing and the Titan Defense was picked apart by Tom Brady. I think Phillip Rivers will do the same.
Lions +7 over 49ERS
I feel like this line
is just too high. If it was made prior
to last week’s games it would have been 2.5 or 3. I think this is the same as the Ravens/Eagles
game as one team played possibly as well as possible last week and the other
played like crap. I doubt Stafford goes
back to back 4-INT games, so I’ll take the Lions and the points.
Broncos +3 over FALCONS
The loss of Brent
Grimes is severely detrimental to the Falcons’ secondary and don’t think Peyton
Manning won’t exploit that. Manning
looked like he had not missed a beat and the Bronco defense was putting serious
pressure on Roethlisberger all night.
I’ll take the Broncos on a last minute Vintage-Peyton Manning drive for
the win.
Last week: 10-5
Season: 10-5
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