Sunday, October 4, 2015

NFL Week 4 Picks


Ravens -2.5 over STEELERS
Good thing I got this TOT game in at 2.5.

Jets +1.5 over Dolphins
I have no idea why the Dolphins are favored.

Jaguars +9.5 over COLTS
I locked this bet in before the Andrew Luck news.

Texans +6.5 over FALCONS
Buy the half point and roll with Watt.

BUCCANEERS +3 over Panthers
Carolina does not seem like a good enough team to be 4-0.

BILLS -5 over Giants
Buffalo might be really good.

BEARS +3.5 over Raiders
Oakland as a road favorite? Get out of here. TOT game.

REDSKINS +3 over Eagles
I think Philadelphia deserves the same questioning of road favoritism. TOT game.

Chiefs +3.5 over BENGALS
The Chiefs have started with a BRUTAL schedule (@ Houston, Denver, @Green Bay) and I think their lines are skewed. TOT game.

Browns +7 over CHARGERS
I like the backdoor potential.

49ERS +7 over Packers
You almost always have to take a home dog of a TD or more. TOT game.

Vikings +7 over BRONCOS
The real play is the under.

Rams +7 over CARDINALS
At some point Arizona won’t cover…. TOT game.

Cowboys +3 over SAINTS
TOT game.  I don’t feel good about it.

Lions +10 over SEAHAWKS
I have a bad feeling about this one, but it’s a TOT game.

10-Point Teaser of the Week:
Packers +3, Broncos/Vikings UNDER 54, and Seahawks PK

Others I Like:
Saints +7, Saints/Cowboys UNDER 59, Redskins +13, Bills +5, Jets +11.5, Bears/Raiders UNDER 55

Fantasy Sleeper of the Week: Gary Barnidge, TE, Cleveland Browns
This guy has stud potential and no matter who is playing at QB for Cleveland they will be checking down to him.  Still owned in less than 40% of leagues, jump on it now.


This Week: 1 – 0
Last Week:  6 – 10
Season: 22 – 26 - 1
TOT Last Week: 4 - 4
TOT Season: 7 – 8