Sunday, October 9, 2016

NFL Week 5 Picks

Not a good week for me (5-10) or The Opposite Theory (2-5). Quick picks this week as I try to bounce back.
Cardinals -3.5 over 49ERS

Texans +7 over VIKINGS
Everyone is sipping Minnesota’s Kool-Aid a little too much.
DOLPHINS -3 over Titans
Tannehill has yet to have a really good game and I think he breaks out of his funk on extra rest.
BROWNS +11 over Patriots
Every survivor/knockout pool in the world will have the Patriots but I can’t pass up almost two touchdowns on a home dog.
Jets +10 over STEELERS
This line has ballooned up but it is one of the 3 TOT games this week. Also, Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS when coming off of a 40-point performance playing a team who has lost two in a row.
RAVENS -3 over Redskins
Our last TOT game and I’m not taking Cousins on the road.
LIONS +4 over Eagles
Insert Philadelphia into the Minnesota comment.
Bears +4.5 over COLTS
Indianapolis is atrocious on defense, mediocre on offense, with no above average player outside of Andrew Luck. Give me the points.
Falcons +4 over BRONCOS
Atlanta might be legit. And I don’t think Paxton Lynch will be strong in his first start.
RAMS +2 over Bills
This line has moved over a field goal in Buffalo’s favor and I am taking the value.
Chargers +4 over RAIDERS
San Diego has dealt with more injuries than anyone, but Philip Rivers keeps finding ways to keep games close.
COWBOYS +2 over Bengals
I’m buying this to a full field goal, but this is too much hate on the Cowboys.
Giants +7 over PACKERS
Eli is actually 5-2 ATS against Green Bay in their last seven games.
PANTHERS -4 over Buccaneers
This line has moved down with Cam Newton out, but Carolina needs this win. Badly.

Best Bets: 7-5
Ravens -3, Chargers +4, Raiders/Chargers OVER 50

10-Point Teaser of the Week: 11-1
Patriots -1, Jets +20, Bengals +8

Other I Like: 23-1
Ravens +7, Chargers +14, Raiders/Chargers OVER 40, Dolphins/Titans UNDER 55, Colts/Bears OVER 37.5, Falcons +14

This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 5-10
Overall: 35-27-1

TOT: 13-10-1

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