Sunday, December 28, 2014

NFL Week 17 Picks

Short picks this week, as next week I will expand on the playoffs as a whole.  TOT was 3-2 last week, and a stellar 33-17 on the year.  Overall I had a strong week winning eleven of the sixteen games and taking my overall record to 32 games over .500.
Jaguars +7.5 over TEXANS
Just because a team still has a chance at the playoffs and their opponent does not, it does not mean they will cover.
TITANS +7 over Colts
Indianapolis cannot change its seeding too much, and touchdown-home-dog is too hard to pass.
Browns +14 over RAVENS
Backup quarterbacks in their first start are still covering at a high rate.
Bills +5.5 over PATRIOTS
The 1-seed is locked up and the Bills will still play hard.
Jets +7 over DOLPHINS
I think Rex Ryan sends the Jets a parting “F-You” by winning the game and lowering their draft pick a few spots.
Panthers +4 over FALCONS
Toss-up division championship game, giving you four points of value.
Bears +7 over VIKINGS
Jay Cutler will be on display as they hope that someone might take him off their hands.
CHIEFS -1 over Chargers
TOT #1: Alex Smith to Chase Daniel is not that much of a drop-off.
Eagles +2 over GIANTS
This line would have been Eagles by a touchdown just a week ago; not that much has changed.
REDSKINS +4 over Cowboys
Murray will get the record then sit, probably the same time as Romo.  RG3 will suck the fans/front office back in.
Saints -4 over BUCCANEERS
If Tampa covers here, it would be the dumbest win in the history of sports.  SUCK FOR THE DUCK!
Rams +11.5 over SEAHAWKS
TOT #2: The Rams did beat Seattle the first time around and I think Fisher can at least keep them close.
Cardinals +7 over 49ERS
Harbaugh has checked out.
Lions +7.5 over PACKERS
This line has ballooned too much because of Lambeau.
BRONCOS -14 over Raiders
TOT #3: Surprisingly a TOT game this way, and not the opposite.  Peyton will put some of the haters away as he prepares for the stretch run.
STEELERS -3.5 over Bengals
Bengals +3.5 over STEELERS
I’m still off on the Steelers… so I made my pick and just went opposite.
10-Point Teaser of the Week:
Packers +2.5, Seahawks -1.5, Saints +6 (Second straight week… FREE MONEY)
Others I Like:
Packers/Lions OVER 36, Bengals +13.5, Browns +24, Jets/Dolphins UNDER 52, Broncos -4, Bills +15.5
This Week: 0-0
Last Week: 11-5
Season: 110-88-2
TOT Last Week: 3-2

TOT Season: 33-17

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