Saturday, October 15, 2016

NFL Week 6 Picks

CHARGERS +3 over Broncos


Bengals +10 over PATRIOTS
This is a perfect example of The Opposite Theory. Cincy was destroyed by the Cowboys’ last weekend while New England fired on all cylinders with Tom Brady back. I think the Bengals can keep this one close as they avoid going to a 2-4 hole.

Ravens +4 over GIANTS
Eli Manning has been awful this season. Ben McAdoo is terrible at clock management. Odell Beckham is throwing temper tantrums and fighting kicking nets. I love it. All of it.

Panthers -2.5 over SAINTS
Cam Newton is definitely playing and this is a near must-win for the Panthers. If they fall to 1-5, that might be too big of a hole to dig out of.

DOLPHINS +7 over Steelers
This is a TOT game along with a home dog getting a touchdown. One thing that is almost a certainty in the NFL is that a team will not stay hot. There are very few examples of a team just dominating its opponents by more than a touchdown week in and week out. The Steelers can definitely win this game without covering.

BEARS -1.5 over Jaguars
Not only do I have absolutely no feel for this game but I would rather not watch a second of it. Brian Hoyer has shown how expendable Jay Cutler is, but have a longer 300-yard passing game streak than Cutler has ever had.

49ers +9 over BILLS
This line has just gotten too high. Let’s just hope that Buffalo does not play the National Anthem on a key third down…

Rams +3 over LIONS
This is another TOT game. As bad as the Rams’ offense has been, I just can’t trust the Lions by more than a field goal.

Browns +7 over TITANS
I basically could copy and paste the previous paragraph.

Eagles -3 over REDSKINS
This is a TOT game for the Eagles after the Redskins were gifted a win last week by Baltimore. Carson Wentz bounces back against the putrid Redskins’ defense.

Chiefs +1 over RAIDERS
Andy Reid is 18-3 straight up and 16-5 against the spread after a bye week in his career.

SEAHAWKS -6 over Falcons
Atlanta has had a pretty rough couple of weeks scheduling wise and I think it catches up to them.

PACKERS -4 over Cowboys
This is another TOT game after the Packers did not cover the 7.5 spread agains the Giants last week (although some had it at 7). The public is all over Dallas’ Kool Aid after a 4-game win streak. However, I think Dak Prescott presses here for the first time. With all of the talk about Tony Romo coming back after the bye, he might try to hard to show he should stay starting.

Colts +3 over TEXANS
At some point will someone let Brock Osweiler know that he has DeAndre Hopkins to throw to all game? He seems to just forget about him for long stretches.

Jets +7 over CARDINALS
I think Todd Bowles has a few tricks up his sleeve to stop his former team.

Best Bets: 9-7
Packers -4, Chiefs +1, Steelers/Dolphins OVER 48

10-Point Teaser of the Week: 13-2
Chiefs +11, Steelers/Dolphins OVER 38, Titans/Browns UNDER 54

Others I Like: 29-1
Packers +6, Patriots PK, Steelers +3, 49ers +19, Patriots/Bengals OVER 37, Panthers/Saints OVER 43

This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 7-6-1
Overall: 42-33-2


TOT: 14-12-1

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